Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.537440 3.758598 3.994407 4.265938 4.571752 4.907661 5.307526
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.355917 3.670713 4.024646 4.457172 4.978846 5.597906 6.404547
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.081900 3.440976 3.860477 4.396681 5.079517 5.944184 7.166480
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.838849 3.221706 3.683036 4.295214 5.112460 6.210462 7.890587
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.654789 3.056779 3.554842 4.239134 5.195057 6.558339 8.829884
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.504176 2.920738 3.449967 4.200830 5.296337 6.955037 9.983772
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.419292 2.861298 3.438489 4.287564 5.590787 7.714450 12.095648
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.256131 2.687888 3.259959 4.118158 5.473219 7.778164 12.913750
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.178040 2.622471 3.224002 4.153154 5.685305 8.476481 15.581996
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.099609 2.551154 3.173709 4.160600 5.853934 9.149501 18.825922
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.993096 2.434793 3.050508 4.041989 5.785636 9.327133 20.833331
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.898872 2.330767 2.938741 3.931693 5.717838 9.495205 23.107364
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.852446 2.300448 2.946531 4.039937 6.125574 11.053811 35.908701
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.820512 2.288992 2.982425 4.203180 6.696081 13.484327 77.046110
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.740477 2.202285 2.895103 4.140497 6.781036 14.609845 148.128681
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.660242 2.111002 2.794301 4.042812 6.770980 15.467700 387.439252
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.595325 2.039356 2.720240 3.987366 6.853937 16.838711 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.539061 1.977893 2.658556 3.948957 6.975131 18.609229 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.507596 1.952611 2.654666 4.023308 7.418265 22.896520 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.439047 1.866540 2.543098 3.869050 7.194279 22.909928 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.406223 1.834777 2.521877 3.898285 7.512881 27.632922 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.371768 1.798701 2.490732 3.903227 7.766919 33.111403 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.322361 1.736774 2.410968 3.795776 7.637249 34.440329 NaN